美国著名经济学家警告：金砖国家崛起，美元体系正在走弱-pg电子麻将胡了
famous us economist warns: dollar system is weakening as gold brics rise译文简介
美国主流经济学家穆罕默德·埃里安警告说，美元正在逐渐失去主导地位，外国央行正在减少购买国债，转而在储备中持有更多黄金。本·诺顿讨论了各国如何寻求金融替代方案，尤其是金砖国家周围的南半球国家。
正文翻译
the us dollar is gradually losing its dominance, and foreign central banks are buying fewer treasury securities, instead holding more gold in their reserves, warns mohamed el-erian, a mainstream american economist. ben norton discusses how countries are seeking financial alternatives, especially global south nations around brics.
美国主流经济学家穆罕默德·埃里安警告说，美元正在逐渐失去主导地位，外国央行正在减少购买国债，转而在储备中持有更多黄金。本·诺顿讨论了各国如何寻求金融替代方案，尤其是金砖国家周围的南半球国家。
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most of americans have sextive hearing & known for escaping reality
大多数美国人选择性听觉，并以逃避现实著称
not just americans. everyone really
不仅仅是美国人，实际上是每个人
to be honest, they think india is in africa. hawaii is in australia.
说实话，他们认为印度在非洲，夏威夷在澳大利亚。
their level of hypocrisy is astounding, honestly beyond comprehension
他们的虚伪程度令人震惊，老实说，难以理解
@notchit3542 not reality, americans use a different dictionary, meaning the opposite to the rest of the globe
并非现实，美国人使用不同的词典，意思与全球其他地方相反
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the us has done more to destroy itself than any external enemy could in the video "the logarithmic decay of the dollar"!
在《美元的对数衰退》视频中，美国对自身的破坏超过了任何外部敌人所能做的
if you keep behaving like a bully, you will eventually end up with no friends & you will be hated by everyone.
如果你继续像个恶霸一样行事，最终会没有朋友，大家都会讨厌你
many countries once look forward with hope n admiration towards the us as the world leader but due to excessive greed n arrogance brought on by the usd hegemony, the us has over abused the exorbitant privilege placed upon them by the trust of others n has killed the goose that lay the golden eggs
许多国家曾经怀着希望和钦佩将美国视为世界领导者，但由于美元霸权带来的过度贪婪和傲慢，美国滥用了他人信任赋予他们的巨大特权，杀死了下金蛋的鹅
no one should have the golden goose, that is a recipe for a disaster from the start. position must be earned, not by privilege.
没有人应该拥有下金蛋的鹅，这从一开始就是灾难的配方。地位必须通过努力获得，而不是凭特权
@frozzytango9927 it was earned - and spent!
这是赚取的——并且已经花了！
' the end of american empire is here .
美国帝国的终结来了。
the beginning of the end.
末日的开始。
inshallah
如果上帝愿意
soonamerica and philippines will rise because the gold backup reserves is here in the philippines god bless america god bless philippines
很快，美国和菲律宾将崛起，因为菲律宾拥有黄金储备。愿上帝保佑美国，愿上帝保佑菲律宾。
the us empire is propped up by the univerality of the dollar.... the dollar ain't going to die.... and the universality of the dollar will be slow to diminish.
美国帝国依靠美元的普及支撑着……美元不会消亡……美元的普及程度会缓慢下降
i hope we will see this happen in our time
我希望我们能在有生之年看到这一发生
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@mrzullekiflee i hope the us sees a return to industrialization...
我希望美国能重返工业化...
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yay thank god
耶，谢谢上帝
end of american empire? music to my ear!
美国帝国的终结？对我来说是天籁之音！
keep dreaming
继续做梦吧
the american empire has been too abusive, oppressive, and barbaric. fed up!
美国帝国过于滥用、压迫和野蛮。受够了！
@mrzullekiflee we most definitely will. i think its gonna happen sooner rather than later.
我们肯定会看到。我觉得这会尽快发生
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i hope so!!
我希望如此！！
@dejiijones_ it's not a dream but something already begun. if someone said in 1824 that british empire would collapse, nobody would even believe him. us is collapsing but like british empire, it'll take half a century to feel and a century to complete. we might not be around to witness it unless some us policies go real bad. $36 trillion is the current debt. and adding $1 trillion every 100 days. in 25 years the debt will be monstrous
这不是梦，而是已经开始的事情。如果有人在1824年说英国帝国会崩溃，没人会相信他。美国正在崩溃，但就像英国帝国一样，需要半个世纪才能感受到，百年才能完成。除非美国的某些政策变得非常糟糕，否则我们可能无法见证这一点。目前的债务是36万亿美元，每100天增加1万亿美元。25年后，债务将达到惊人的规模。
@badbad-cat okay when the dollar isn’t dominant anymore which i believe that will happen, but what exactly you think will happen then??. the way you tools are speaking it’s like the country will collapse into a third world country ..maybe in a 1000 years but not anytime soon
好的，当美元不再占主导地位时，我相信那会发生。但你具体认为会发生什么呢？你说的方式好像这个国家会崩溃成第三世界国家……也许在1000年后，但不会很快
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@dejiijones_ there's no point in explaining to you. if you're young enough you'll see
没必要向你解释。如果你足够年轻，你会看到的
@doddie-17y,
we all know that you are pulling or leg lol
我们都知道你在开玩笑，哈哈
it doesn't look slow to me. @urrywest
我觉得看起来并不慢。
end of american empire.
100%truth.100%truth.100%truth.
jai hind.jai bharat....
美国帝国的终结。
百分之百的真理，百分之百的真理，百分之百的真理。
胜利属于印度，胜利属于印度……
this is russian paid propaganda nonsens
这是俄罗斯付费的宣传胡说八道
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free the world from the us!
解放世界脱离美国！
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bull shit
胡说
free the world from religion, freedom from religion
让世界摆脱宗教，宗教的自由
free the world from usa
让世界摆脱美国
@errorxd3423 why? the us is not an islamic totalitarian country. it's not a com...st country. it's not a marxist totalitarian country. it's not a dictatorship.
instead, the usa is the freest, richest, and by far the most powerful country in the world. in fact, even the collective world could not defeat the us.
为什么？美国不是伊斯兰极权国家，也不是gczy国家，不是马克思主义极权国家，也不是dc政权。
相反，美国是世界上最自由、最富有，也是迄今为止最强大的国家。事实上，甚至整个世界也无法击败美国。
@theblackdog2399 start talking about christian countries that have been killing people since the start of humanity, first the native indians then the africans then the aborigines then the asians then the palestinians and then you still have the nerve to talk about islam
开始谈论自人类起源以来基督教国家一直在杀人，首先是本土印第安人，然后是非洲人，接着是原住民、亚洲人、巴勒斯坦人，然后你还敢谈论伊斯兰教
@theblackdog2399 thanks we still dont like it :)
谢谢，我们仍然不喜欢它
@ashishbagade-hv4el i couldn't care less.
我一点也不在乎
@theblackdog2399 that’s also fine
那也没关系
@theblackdog2399 it's not a dictatorship. yet.
它还不是dc政权。
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@schan9547 the usa is the most democratic and free society in all of the world.
美国是世界上最民主和最自由的社会。
@theblackdog2399 its even worse than all of it you have mentioned
它甚至比你提到的所有东西还要糟糕
all empires collapse sooner or later.
all currencies cease to be the reserve currency.
all businesses collapse sooner or later.
never say it will never happen.
所有帝国迟早都会崩溃。
所有货币都将不再是储备货币。
所有企业迟早都会倒闭。
永远不要说它永远不会发生。
mighty rome!
well that's how historians call it.
强大的罗马！
历史学家就是这么称呼它的。
nothing is forever. fukuyama believed and made people believe it was forever.
没有什么是永恒的。福山相信并让人们相信它是永恒的。
@ramie237 ”diamond is forever…”
kidding…
“钻石恒久远……”
开玩笑的…
gold, silver and other commodities are eternal.
黄金、白银和其他商品是永恒的。
it really doesn't matter what the us thinks about brics currency.
美国如何看待金砖国家的货币实际上并不重要。
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they cause it to happen
他们导致了这一切的发生
the lady doth protest too much, methinks
我觉得这位女士抗议得太多了
precisely as simple as that
确实，就是这么简单
exactly
确实
as long as brics backs themselves with gold. they should be able to bring about the end of dollar dominance
只要金砖国家以黄金支持自己，他们应该能够结束美元的主导地位
even if they don't back themselves with gold. fiat currency is simply based on faith. brics just needs to trust themselves to trade in their currency and that's how the dollar dies
即使他们不以黄金支持自己。法定货币仅仅基于信任。金砖国家只需要信任自己使用本币交易，这样美元就会消亡
@1mol831 yo know us has all the gold
你知道美国拥有所有的黄金
the average westerner is clueless…totally clueless ♀
普通的西方人一无所知……完全一无所知
i know, i'm surrounded. i live in the u.s.
我知道，我被包围了。我住在美国。
the average westerner has been dumbed down deliberately over the past 75 years, by the rich, starting in the us and spreading slowly over western europe, uk, australia in public schools! that way the rich private college given diploma opens ceo, political, medical doors, while low income earners unable to have their children educated privately, the cycle of poor low income earning cheap labour continues for generations! us wages for low income earners are on 1977 wages rates!
普通的西方人在过去75年里被富人故意智障化，从美国开始，慢慢传播到西欧、英国、澳大利亚的公立学校！这样，富人拥有的私立大学文凭能开启ceo、政治、医疗的大门，而低收入者无法让他们的孩子接受私立教育，贫困低收入的廉价劳动力循环代代相传！美国低收入者的工资仍停留在1977年的水平！
social media was the final nail in the coffin...turned them into dancing puppets.
社交媒体是最后一根稻草……把他们变成了跳舞的木偶。
i feel like the only person with any common sense or meaningful knowledge about this at my fortune 100 finance firm. i'm planning to save up enough money to buy an apartment on the outskirts of moscow. in a year or so. or pay for 50-75% of it's initial cost. i'll go for a decent apartment that needs a little remodeling. america is on a path that will lead to a sharp decline in 5-10 years.
在我所在的财富100金融公司里，我感觉自己是唯一有常识或有意义知识的人。我计划储蓄足够的钱在莫斯科郊区买一套公寓。大约一年左右。或者支付其初始成本的50-75%。我会选择一套需要稍微装修的体面公寓。美国正走在一条将在5-10年内导致急剧衰退的道路上。
i'm an american and no one here talks about it, the gov't, the media, people on the street, nobody
我是美国人，这里没有人谈论此事，政府、媒体、街上的人，没人
@hotrodjones74 america's
already in the abyss, just waiting until chained to them, uk,nato eu, allies also gets to the bottom, they will need all the friends they can still have!
美国已经陷入深渊，只等待英国、北约、欧盟等盟友也陷入困境，他们将需要尽可能多的朋友！
they will not see anything till it slaps them in the face.
在它打他们脸之前，他们不会看到任何事情。
brics is a golden opportunity to unite. mutually beneficial cooperation leads to prosperity.
金砖 是一个团结的黄金机会。互利合作带来繁荣。
india should be reconsidered, they're a bit wishy washy.
应该重新考虑印度，他们有点优柔寡断。
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@lilmbaye29 well india is definitely on the russian side. the indian diplomats know how uk has always tried to hide india's rich history of science and culture to appear as a civilising force to india, which already was civilized way before and was the largest economy for 1.5 mellenia. snatching someone's history will cost heavy.
印度肯定站在俄罗斯一边。印度外交官知道英国一直试图隐藏印度丰富的科学和文化历史，以显得是印度的文明力量，而印度早已文明，并在1500年前是最大的经济体。抢夺他人的历史代价高昂。
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@lilmbaye29 boy u need some education. india will decide where this will go whatever side india chooses they win.
伙计，你需要接受一些教育。印度将决定事情的发展方向，无论印度选择哪一边，他们都会赢。
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@sunuwar-31 i agree i am indian . india will goes where market goes mean america will fall to its kness because of its own 35 trillion dollar debt and they will need india to help them with medicine and groceries because of inflation . for india its win win situation .
我同意，我是印度人。印度将跟随市场走向，这意味着美国将因自身的35万亿美元债务而衰落，他们将需要印度在通货膨胀期间帮助他们提供药品和杂货。对印度来说，这是双赢的局面。
brics have been trying to do this for 50 years.
金砖国家已经尝试做到这一点50年了。
just waiting for my dinar to grow some legs ..
只是在等我的第纳尔升值……
@self-is-ultimatereality yes .. india is a dragon !! let it sleep..
是的，印度是一条龙！让它休息吧……
@privateordover well dragon is used for china, they don't teach in the uk or what♂️?
中国才能用“龙”这个词，他们在英国没有教吗？
@butmunchass brics was formed much later genius
金砖国家是后来才成立的，天才。
@lilmbaye29 india is the largest russian oil importer after china and second largest exporter of critical electronics to russia and the largest exporter of uniforms and what not to russia. india is not anti west but non west.
印度是继中国之后俄罗斯最大的石油进口国，也是向俄罗斯出口关键电子产品的第二大国家，同时也是向俄罗斯出口制服等物品的最大国家。印度不是反西方，而是非西方国家。
@self-is-ultimatereality let it sleep !
让它休息吧！
@privateordover west should wake up or will go to permanent sleep.
西方应该醒醒，否则将永远沉睡。
do you think china and/or russia dominance is better for the world peace and prosperity?
你认为中国和/或俄罗斯的主导地位对世界和平与繁荣更好吗？
@butmunchass run that by me again? bric, then brics, now brics has been operating a fraction of that time.
你能再说一遍吗？最初是金砖四国，然后是金砖五国，现在是金砖 ，运行时间只是其中的一部分。
i remember libya was a nice country. today, lybia is a civil war "thanks" to obama administration.
that why in europe we have a crise imigration, we destroyed so many countries and with sancoes those countries become poor forever.
我记得利比亚曾是一个美好的国家。今天，利比亚因为奥巴马政府而陷入内战。这也是为什么欧洲有移民危机，我们破坏了许多国家，并通过制裁让这些国家永远贫穷。
all that hoopla about de-dollarization failing is tied to the fact that brics did not make the mistake of immediatly creating a brics currency banknote. as long as brics will continue to settle trading accounts with the "unit of account" and let each member country maintain its own currency it will be a resounding success and make the us-dollar almost irrelevant.
关于去美元化失败的所有喧嚣，都与金砖国家没有立即创建金砖货币钞票的事实有关。只要金砖国家继续以“记账单位”结算贸易账目，并让每个成员国保持自己的货币，这将是一个巨大的成功，并使美元几乎变得无关紧要。
it will not make the dollar irrelevant. it will replace the us dollar-based swift payment system with a cheaper, more flexible payment system.
这不会让美元变得无关紧要。它将用一个更便宜、更灵活的支付系统取代基于美元的swift支付系统。
no alternatives to us$? that’s what they said about british pound.
没有美元的替代品？这就是他们对英镑所说的。
nothing new under the sun
太阳底下无新事。
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no alternatives for those who need a "liquid" asset for money laundering.
对于那些需要“流动”资产进行洗钱的人来说，没有替代品。
south african here so i am obliged to show support for brics, we will see who wins buddy
我是南非人，所以我有义务支持金砖国家，我们看看谁会赢，伙计。
the pound sinking!! scotland needs out!
英镑在下跌！！苏格兰需要退出！
@robertgalloway3771 to where? the eu is actually nato .... while norway is not exactly eu.
到哪里去？欧盟实际上就是北约……而挪威并不完全是欧盟的一部分。
@hageevertus1796 a new zealander here. i am at odds with my fellows in that i am pro brics
我是新西兰人。我与我的同胞意见不合，因为我支持金砖加。
the west is so desperate !
西方太绝望了！
desperate but stubborn. the solutions are obvious and readily available, but the political leadership would rather cling stubbornly to an ideology that has already proven to be a failure.
绝望但顽固。pg电子麻将胡了的解决方案显而易见且随时可用，但政治领导层宁愿顽固地坚持一种已经被证明失败的意识形态。
yeah, we are all sweating from the heat of brics.
是的，我们都在金砖国家的压力下感到紧张。
@zaneshark what are the solutions, in your opinion? what should people in the united states do?
你认为pg电子麻将胡了的解决方案是什么？美国人应该做什么？
@ivanmrsicstudio
the problems are systemic and deeply rooted and therefore require comprehensive structural reforms. this can only be done via a multidisciplinary approach to civil policy.
the aim of this broad restructuring program would be to establish a basic threshold of existential security for the nation's citizens. this means implementing measures which ensure to the general public secure housing, medical care, and education, etc..
in addition, all members of the national project should hold a direct stake in its collectively produced gdp. this means that every citizen will earn a dividend from the annual wealth that is generated from the country's economic activity.
问题是系统性的，根深蒂固，因此需要全面的结构性改革。这只能通过多学科的方法来进行公民政策。这个广泛重组计划的目标是为国家公民建立基本的生存安全门槛。这意味着实施确保公众有安全住房、医疗和教育等措施。此外，所有国家项目的成员应直接持有其集体生产的gdp份额。这意味着每个公民将从国家经济活动产生的年度财富中获得红利。
i mean not only economically but also politically their losing control of latam, mostly
我的意思是不仅在经济上，而且在政治上，他们主要是在失去对拉美的控制。
@theblackdog2399
the sun rises in the east and sets in the west.... absolutely!!
太阳从东方升起，西方落下……绝对正确！
@georgewilder7423 but the sun is not on this planet. the usa is and the usa is the richest and most powerful country in the world and its not an accident.
但太阳不在这个星球上。美国在，而且美国是世界上最富有、最强大的国家，这不是偶然的。
gold is the true measurement of duing fiat currencies.
even silver is breaking out which spells disaster for the central banks.
黄金是真正衡量法定货币贬值的标准。连白银都在上涨，这对中央银行来说意味着灾难。
naw
不。
@pecan11 so stay poor while the rest of us stack, i guess?
所以你就是留在贫穷中，而我们其他人则积累财富，对吗？
trump keeps calling this country a democracy. it's a constitutional republic. he's no different than the rnc and fox. therefore, i'm all in on gold.
特朗普一直称这个国家为民主国家。实际上它是一个宪政共和国。他与共和党全国委员会和福克斯电视台没什么不同。因此，我全力支持黄金。
the sun never sets on the "british pound"
“英镑”永不落。
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@simplefluorescence what you fail to understand is that there isn’t enough gold in the world to use as a fiat currency. the total amount of gold in the world is estimated to be around 244,000 metric tons, which includes 197,000 metric tons that has been mined worth around $14 trillion with another 57,000 metric tons remaining in the ground 28:20 to be mined.
here's how the world's gold is distributed:
jewelry: 45% of the world's gold is used to make jewelry
bars and coins: 22% of the world's gold is used to make bars and coins
central banks: 17% of the world's gold is held by central banks
other: 15% of the world's gold is used for industrial purposes
so with central banks only holding 17% of the worlds gold or $2.3 trillion, that would only cover the gdp of russia!
你没理解的是，世界上的黄金不足以作为法定货币。全球黄金总量估计约为244,000公吨，其中包括已开采的197,000公吨，价值约14万亿美元，另有57,000公吨待开采。世界黄金的分布如下：
珠宝：45%的黄金用于制作珠宝
金条和金币：22%的黄金用于制作金条和金币
中央银行：17%的黄金由中央银行持有
其他：15%的黄金用于工业用途
因此，中央银行仅持有17%的世界黄金，价值约2.3万亿美元，这只足以覆盖俄罗斯的gdp！
the odd thing is the value of gold is stated in fiat currency terms
奇怪的是，黄金的价值是以法定货币来表示的。
@jimcosd55 what about ruation of gold?? now one troy once is cca 2700 usd but it could be 27000 or 270 000 usd
黄金的重新估值呢？？现在一金衡盎司大约2700美元，但它可能是27000或270000美元。
invest today in things you need tomorrow. choose things that don't degrade, not ones that can be worthless tomorrow.
今天投资你明天需要的东西。选择那些不会贬值的东西，而不是那些明天可能一文不值的东西。
@jimcosd55 dude, gold isn't fiat by definition. fiat is fiat. you also don't need gold to 100% replace other currency as a trading mechanism in order for it it to act like an inflation hedge...
because it literally is money! has been for 5,000 years. again, it should (and does) perform at around 0% against inflation because it essentially acts as a dollar short. holding cash has negative real performance versus inflation because fiat usd is inflation!
i'm not disagreeing with you on some points, i'm disagreeing with the way you define and analyze certain economic principles.
伙计，黄金按定义不是法定货币。法定货币就是法定货币。你也不需要黄金100%取代其他货币作为交易机制，才能使其充当对抗通胀的工具……因为它本身就是钱！已经有5000年的历史了。同样，它应该（并确实）在对抗通胀方面表现为大约0%，因为它本质上充当美元的替代。持有现金在对抗通胀方面表现为负，因为法定美元就是通胀！我并不是在某些点上不同意你，我是在不同意你定义和分析某些经济原则的方式。
800 foreign military bases around the world
全球有800个外国军事基地。
i love china and russia
我爱中国和俄罗斯。
what about my superpower country india?
我的超级大国印度呢？
@fannyalbi9040 they are sort of a package. and hopefully, they will work together and stay friends and compromise for a long time.
他们有点像一个整体。希望他们能够合作，长期保持友谊并做出妥协。
western media can't even acknowledge the existence of brics. they call the kazan 2024 summit, "the russian conference"
西方媒体甚至无法承认金砖国家的存在。他们称喀山2024峰会为“俄罗斯会议”。
yeah, they will acknowledge when they do not have anyone to push there inflation to.
是的，当他们没有人可以利用来推动通胀时，他们会承认。
it’s called american arrogance and hypocrisy
这就是所谓的美国的傲慢和虚伪。
will be too late by the time they acknowledge it.
等他们承认时已经太晚了。
they have the 'zelensky syndrome'!
他们有“泽连斯基综合症”！
we in the east, hope they keep it that way. once we arrive, you just cannot do anything to change the tide.
我们在东方，希望他们保持现状。一旦我们到来，你就无法改变潮流。
it doesn’t need to be gold backed, it only needs to be a viable alternative to the usd. once it is proven to work, expect support for the us to fall away very quickly.
它不需要有黄金支持，只需要成为美元的一个可行替代品。一旦证明可行，预计对美国的支持将迅速减少。
agreed - in fact, silver would be a better standard for currency.
同意——事实上，白银会是更好的货币标准。
they chose gold because they have easy access to it, compared to the west that doesn't.
他们选择黄金是因为相比于西方，他们更容易获取黄金。
no empire has ever endured indefinitely
没有帝国曾经永恒存在。
4:29 one particular point we should never forget is the weaponisatiom of the dollar. any country from the global south and brics, have been threatened by this dollar weapon. consider russia, iraq, iran, syria, venezuela, cuba and many many others. the colonialist powers including the uk, france, germany, usa, australia, the west have kept countries in constant threat by the dollar gun.
4:29 我们绝不应该忘记的一个重要点是美元的武器化。来自全球南方和金砖国家的任何国家，都受到这种美元武器的威胁。考虑到俄罗斯、伊拉克、伊朗、叙利亚、委内瑞拉、古巴等许多国家。包括英国、法国、德国、美国、澳大利亚和西方在内的殖民大国通过美元武器不断威胁这些国家。
in my opinion the watershed is not the freezing but stealing russian’s money.
在我看来，分水岭不是冻结，而是偷窃俄罗斯的钱。
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the us is crazy
美国疯了。
the dollar cannot be compared to gold as dollar is pegged to iou. crash imminent
美元不能与黄金相比，因为美元是挂钩于借据的。崩溃即将来临。
"debt is capitalism's dirty secret" wikipedia.
“债务是资本主义的肮脏秘密” 维基百科。